Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, By Fuel Type (Bio Fuel, Hydrogen Fuel, and Power to Liquid Fuel), Manufacturing Technology (Hydroprocessed Fatty Acid Esters And Fatty Acids - Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (HEFA-SPK), Fischer Tropsch Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (FT-SPK), Synthetic ISO-Paraffin From Fermented Hydroprocessed Sugar (HFS-SIP), Fischer Tropsch (FT) Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene With Aromatics (FT-SPK/A), Alcohol To Jet SPK (ATJ-SPK) and Catalytic Hydrothermolysis Jet (CHJ)), Blending Capacity (Below 30 %, 30 % to 50 % and Above 50%), Blending Platform (Commercial Aviation, Military Aviation, Business & General Aviation, and Unmanned Aerial Vehicle) Industry Trends and Forecast to 2029.
Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Analysis and Size
The aviation industry is keen on bringing down carbon footprints to achieve a sustainable environment and meet the stringent regulatory standards on emissions. Alternative solutions, such as improving aero-engine efficiency by design modifications, hybrid-electric and all-electric aircraft, renewable jet fuels, etc., are being adopted by various stakeholders of the aviation industry. However, out of these solutions, the adoption of sustainable aviation fuel s such as E-fuels, synthetic fuels, green jet fuels, bio jet fuels, hydrogen fuels is one of the most feasible alternative solutions with respect to socio and economic benefits when compared to others, which contributes significantly to mitigating current and expected future environmental impacts of aviation.
Sustainable aviation fuels are a key component in meeting the aviation industry’s commitments to decouple increases in carbon emissions from traffic growth. Factors such as a rise in a number of airline passengers, growing disposable income, increase in air transportation, and increase in consumption of synthetic lubricants supplement the growth of the global sustainable aviation fuel market. However, the lack of infrastructure act as a restraining factor for the market.
Data Bridge Market Research analyses that the sustainable aviation fuel market is expected to reach the value of EURO 11,675.53 million by 2029, at a CAGR of 47.9% during the forecast period. “Bio Fuel" accounts for the largest technology segment in the sustainable aviation fuel market due to rapid developments in technological pathways to commercialize the use of alternative jet fuel. The sustainable aviation fuel market report also covers pricing analysis, patent analysis, and technological advancements in depth.
2022 to 2029
Revenue in EURO Million, Volumes in Units, Pricing in EURO
By Fuel Type (Bio Fuel, Hydrogen Fuel And Power To Liquid Fuel), By Manufacturing Technology (Hydroprocessed Fatty Acid Esters And Fatty Acids - Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (Hefa-Spk), Fischer Tropsch Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (FT-SPK), Synthetic Iso-Paraffin From Fermented Hydroprocessed Sugar (Hfs-Sip), Fischer Tropsch (Ft) Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene With Aromatics (FT-SPK/A), Alcohol To Jet Spk (ATJ-SPK) and Catalytic Hydrothermolysis Jet (CHJ)), By Blending Capacity (Below 30 %, 30 % To 50 % and Above 50%), By Blending Platform (Commercial Aviation, Military Aviation, Business & General Aviation, And Unmanned Aerial Vehicle)
U.S., Canada and Mexico in North America, U.K., Germany, France, Spain, Italy, Netherlands, Switzerland, Russia, Belgium, Turkey, and the rest of Europe, China, South Korea, Japan, India, Australia, Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, Philippines, and the rest of Asia-Pacific in the Asia-Pacific (APAC), South Africa, Saudi Arabia, U.A.E., Israel, Egypt, and the rest of the Middle East and Africa (MEA) as a part of Middle East and Africa (MEA), Brazil, Argentina, Caribbean, Colombia, Peru, Chile, Panama, Venezuela and Rest of South America as part of South America.
Market Players Covered
Neste, Gevo, VELOCYS,Fulcrum BioEnergy, SkyNRG, Prometheus Fuels, World Energy, Avfuel Corporation, LanzaTech, Preem AB, Eni , Sasol Ltd, BP p.l.c., Cepsa, Honeywell International Inc, Chevron Corporation, TotalEnergies, Exxon Mobil Corporation, Johnson Matthey, VIRENT, INC., HyPoint Inc., ZeroAvia, Inc. among others.
Sustainable aviation fuel is a unique form of fuel designed for use in aircraft and at the same time will increase the performance of aircraft. Sustainable aviation fuels are derived from sustainable feedstock and could be very comparable in their chemistry to standard fossil jet fuel. An increase in the utility of sustainable aviation fuels bring about a reduction in carbon emissions in comparison to the traditional jet fuel because it replaces the lifecycle of the fuel.
The aviation enterprise is willing towards bringing down carbon footprints to obtain a sustainable environme
nt and meet stringent regulatory requirements on emissions. Moreover, enhancing aero-engine performance through layout modifications, hybrid-electric and all-electric powered aircraft, renewable jet fuels, are being adopted by numerous stakeholders of the aviation industry however the adoption of sustainable aviation fuel is taken into consideration the maximum dependable and viable opportunity solutions with respect to socio and economic advantages while in comparison to others, which contributes extensively to mitigating modern and anticipated future environmental impacts of aviation.
Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Dynamics
This section deals with understanding the market drivers, advantages, opportunities, restraints and challenges. All of this is discussed in detail as below:
- Increasing Need for Reduction in GHG Emissions in the Aviation Industry
Human-caused greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions amplify the greenhouse effect, causing climate change. Carbon dioxide is emitted primarily through the combustion of fossil fuels such as coal, oil, and natural gas. Some of the biggest polluters globally are China and Russia. These pollutions are mostly caused due to the OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) owned coal, oil and gas corporations. Carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere have grown by around 50% from pre-industrial times due to human-caused emissions.
Pollutants emitted by aircraft engines are equivalent to those emitted by fossil fuel combustion. At higher altitudes, aircraft emissions have a greater concentration of contaminants. These emissions create serious environmental issues, both in terms of their global effect and their impact on local air quality
- Increase in air Transportation, and Increase in Consumption of Synthetic Lubricants
Air travel is a critical component in achieving economic growth and development. On a national, regional, and worldwide scale, air travel fosters integration into the global economy and offers crucial linkages. It contributes to the growth of trade, tourism, and job possibilities. The aviation system is evolving and will continue to evolve. However, in the long run, it will be difficult for the air transportation system to adapt quickly enough to fulfil changing needs in terms of capacity, environmental impact, consumer happiness, safety, and security, all while maintaining service providers' economic viability.
The pandemic of Covid-19, along with government backing and technological discoveries, particularly in the field of fuel technology, has accelerated the aviation industry's transition to sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). While the use of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) is on the rise, non-synthetic lubricants are on the decline. Synthetic and semi-synthesis lubricants are expected to benefit from the transition because most aircrafts employ advanced grade lubricants. The worldwide sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) market is predicted to be driven by this factor.
- Increase in demand for Sustainable Aviation Fuel by Airlines
The aviation sector is adopting "urgent action" to meet the world's climate objective, which includes reducing air travel growth and swiftly scaling up the use of sustainable aviation fuels (SAF). SAF's purpose is to recycle carbon from existing sustainable biomass or gases into jet fuel as a replacement for fossil jet fuel refined from petroleum crude oil. SAF's purpose is to recycle carbon from existing sustainable biomass or gases into jet fuel as a replacement for fossil jet fuel refined from petroleum crude oil. The aviation sector as a whole, as well as IATA member airlines, are committed to attaining aggressive emissions reduction objectives. SAFs (sustainable aviation fuels) have been highlighted as a key component in reaching these goals. It will take government support to use sustainable aviation fuels to satisfy the industry's climate goals
As the key industry players are recognizing the need for sustainable aviation fuels (SAF), therefore the service providers have started embracing various sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) alternatives in various airlines, which is expected to further drive the growth of the sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) significantly.
- Inadequate Availability of Feedstock and Refineries to Meet Sustainable Aviation fuel Production Demand
Sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs), which are made from bio-based feedstock’s, are an important part of the plan to decrease aviation's carbon footprint. Technically, substituting and mixing SAFs with jet fuel is possible; in fact, the aviation industry has been using SAFs for over a decade. However, because of supply and demand constraints, consumption levels remain exceedingly low.
Oil crops, sugar crops, algae, waste oil, and other biological and non-biological resources are the raw materials that play an essential part in the whole production chain of alternative aviation fuels such as synthetic fuels, e-fuels, and bio jet fuels. The need for sustainable aviation fuel may come to a standstill due to a paucity of raw materials required for manufacture. Because of a scarcity of raw materials necessary for its manufacture, demand for sustainable aviation fuel may come to a halt. Furthermore, refinery restrictions, which play a critical role in the optimal exploitation of these feedstock, add to the total process of SAF manufacturing. Low fuel supply also puts a strain on the fuel's mixing capacity, resulting in lower efficiency.
When competition from the road gasoline sector for feedstock that meets sustainability standards grows, feedstock availability becomes a bottleneck. Feedstock costs are a significant part of the SAF cost, and price fluctuation can cause supply issues for fuel producers. Therefore, a higher fuel surcharge by a carrier is further hindering the growth of the market to an extent.
- Fluctuations in Crude Oil Prices and Contamination of Lubricants
Increasing global competition and cost pressure force enterprises and supply chains to discover undetected cost-saving potentials. In particular, interfaces to the crude oil market are a promising field for improvement. In today’s business environment, every organization faces some risk of fluctuation in the price of crude oil and lubricant commodities. In production, manufacturers may rely on a significant amount of oil commodities, and as a result can be especially impacted by price volatility in the oil products they procure directly and indirectly through components and subassemblies. Volatile and unstable global markets have widespread implications for manufacturing organizations. From rising energy costs to unexpected fluctuations in crude oil manufacturing costs, unforeseen obstacles are destabilizing supply chains and making it difficult for manufacturers to remain in the black. With supplies of many raw materials becoming harder to secure, commodity price volatility may not be just a temporary phenomenon, and it is up to manufacturers to either absorb additional costs, find new ways to mitigate the expenses, or pass price increases along to customers who are already reluctant to spend. Since pricing is affected by the tightening of supply markets, this trend shows no indication of changing anytime soon. Thus, the fluctuating cost of crude oil and other lubricants acts as a major restrain for the global sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) market.
Carbon fragments are typically not hard enough or big enough to cause pump failure. They could, however, be big enough to block tiny filters or nozzles. Another cause of operational contamination is the presence of sand, grit, and metallic particles in the lubrication system. Which acts as a restraining factor for the global sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) market.
- Reduction in Carbon Foot Print Due to Low Capability of Sustainable Aviation Fuel
Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) reduces carbon emissions over the lifespan of the fuel as compared to the traditional jet fuel it replaces. Cooking oil and other non-palm waste oils from animals or plants are common feedstock, as are solid waste from homes and companies, such as packaging, paper, textiles, and food scraps that would otherwise be disposed of in landfills or incinerated. Forest debris, such as waste wood, and energy crops, such as fast-growing plants and algae, are also possible sources.
Depending on the sustainable feedstock utilized, production process, and supply chain to the airport, SAF can reduce carbon emissions by up to 80% during the lifespan of the fuel compared to the traditional jet fuel it replaces.
SAF may be mixed up to 50% with standard jet fuel and undergoes the same quality testing as traditional jet fuel. After then, the mix is recertified as Jet A or Jet A-1. It can be handled in the same manner as standard jet fuel is, thus no changes to the fuelling infrastructure or aircraft that desire to utilize SAF are necessary which creates an opportunity for the growth of the global sustainable aviation fuel market.
- Development of Eco-Friendly and Safe Aviation Lubricants
In today's world, the aviation industry is booming, resulting in increased rivalry among aircraft aviation fuel producers in all areas. Alternative environmentally friendly sources for long-term aviation fuel production are expected to have a future influence on the aviation fuel sector. The market for sustainable aviation fuel has grown significantly over the years, owing to the growing trend of advanced fuels being utilized in airplanes all over the world.
Growing biomass crops for sustainable aviation fuel production also allows farmers to make more money in the off-season by contributing feedstock to this new industry, while simultaneously securing agricultural advantages such as nutrient loss reduction and improved soil quality. Thereby, creating an opportunity for the growth of global sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) market.
- High cost of Sustainable Aviation Fuel Increases the Operating Cost of Airlines
Labour and fuel expenditures are the two most significant expenses that airlines face. In the near term, labour expenses are usually stable, but fuel prices fluctuate significantly depending on the price of oil. Fuel is a significant part of the cost of running an airline, accounting for 20-30% of total expenditures. Oil price spikes have been some of the toughest moments for airlines. Airlines can prepare for gradually rising prices by raising ticket prices or lowering the number of flights, but unexpected increases in pricing cause many airlines to lose money.
Targets for the use of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) will begin adding to the cost of fuel this year, making things even more difficult for airlines. According to the International Air Transport Association (IATA), global SAF production is only approximately 100 million litres per year, or 0.1 percent of all aviation fuel utilised. Various airlines, on the other hand, have pledged to increase this percentage to 10% by 2030, a genuinely lofty objective.
Unfortunately, because of the limited volume of manufacturing, the cost is likewise expensive. The cost of SAF is estimated to be between two and four times that of fossil fuels by IATA, while a recent disclosure by Air France-KLM suggested that the cost disparity might be closer to four to eight times that of kerosene.
Governments have been urged by the International Air Transport Association (IATA) and others to encourage the development of SAF, but in the form of economic stimulation. This paves way for the increase in prices of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) thereby acting as a challenge for global sustainable aviation fuel (market.
Post COVID-19 Impact on Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market
COVID-19 created a major impact on the Sustainable aviation fuel market as almost every country has opted for the shutdown for every production facility except the ones dealing in producing the essential goods. The government has taken some strict actions such as the shutdown of production and sale of non-essential goods, blocked international trade, and many more to prevent the spread of COVID-19. The only business which is dealing in this pandemic situation is the essential services that are allowed to open and run the processes.
The growth of the Sustainable aviation fuel market is increasing due to need for reduction in GHG emissions in the aviation industry. However, factors such as inadequate availability of feedstock and refineries to meet sustainable aviation fuel production demand in Sustainable aviation fuel are restraining the market growth. The shutdown of production facilities during the pandemic situation has had a significant impact on the market.
Manufacturers are making various strategic decisions to bounce back post-COVID-19. The players are conducting multiple research and development activities to improve the technology involved in the Sustainable aviation fuel. With this, the companies will bring advanced and accurate controllers to the market. In addition, the use of Sustainable aviation fuel by government authorities in air freight has led to the market's growth.
- In March 2022, Neste in collaboration with DHL Express announced one of the largest ever sustainable aviation fuel deals. This agreement is Neste’s largest for Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) to date and one of the largest SAF agreements in the aviation industry. This collaboration will enhance Neste’s current network by offering seamless connectivity all over the world
- In March 2022, BP ventures has made a £3 million equity investment in Flylogix – a pioneering unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) business that uses drones to aid methane detection. These BP ventures focuses on connecting and growing new energy business and current network by offering seamless connectivity all over the world
Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Scope
The sustainable aviation fuel market is segmented on the basis of fuel type, manufacturing technology, blending capacity, and blending platform. The growth amongst these segments will help you analyse meagre growth segments in the industries and provide the users with a valuable market overview and market insights to help them make strategic decisions for identifying core market applications.
- Bio fuel
- Hydrogen fuel
- Power to liquid fuel
On the basis of fuel type, the global sustainable aviation fuel market is segmented into bio fuel, hydrogen fuel and power to liquid fuel
- Hydroprocessed Fatty Acid Esters and Fatty Acids - Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (HEFA-SPK)
- Fischer Tropsch Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (FT-SPK)
- Synthetic Iso-Paraffin from Fermented Hydroprocessed Sugar (HFS-SIP)
- Fischer Tropsch (FT) Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene with Aromatics (FT-SPK/A)
- Alcohol to Jet Spk (ATJ-SPK)
- Catalytic Hydrothermolysis Jet (CHJ)
On the basis of manufacturing technology, the global sustainable aviation fuel market has been segmented into hydroprocessed fatty acid esters and fatty acids - synthetic paraffinic kerosene (HEFA-SPK), fischer tropsch synthetic paraffinic kerosene (FT-SPK), synthetic Iso-paraffin from fermented hydroprocessed sugar (HFS-SIP), fischer tropsch (FT) synthetic paraffinic kerosene with aromatics (FT-SPK/A), alcohol to jet SPK (ATJ-SPK) and catalytic hydrothermolysis jet (CHJ).
- Below 30 %
- 30 % To 50 %
- Above 50%
On the basis of blending capacity, the global sustainable aviation fuel market has been segmented into below 30 %, 30 % to 50 % and above 50%.
- Commercial Aviation
- Military Aviation
- Business & General Aviation
- Unmanned Aerial Vehicle
On the basis of blending platform, the global sustainable aviation fuel market has been segmented into commercial aviation, military aviation, business & general aviation, and unmanned aerial vehicle
Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Regional Analysis/Insights
The sustainable aviation fuel market is analysed and market size insights and trends are provided by country, fuel type, manufacturing technology, blending capacity, and blending platform industry as referenced above.
The countries covered in the Sustainable aviation fuel market report are U.S., Canada and Mexico in North America, U.K., Germany, France, Spain, Italy, Netherlands, Switzerland, Russia, Belgium, Turkey, and the rest of Europe in Europe, China, South Korea, Japan, India, Australia, Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, Philippines, and the rest of Asia-Pacific in the Asia-Pacific (APAC), South Africa, Saudi Arabia, U.A.E., Israel, Egypt, and the rest of the Middle East and Africa (MEA) as a part of Middle East and Africa (MEA), Brazil, Argentina, Caribbean, Colombia, Peru, Chille, Panama, Venezuela and rest of South America as part of South America.
The rising infrastructure, commercial, and aviation industrial developments in emerging countries such as U.S., Canada and Mexico are credited with the market's dominance. U.S. dominates the North America region due to the leading alternative replacements for conventional jet fuel. U.K. dominates the Europe Sustainable aviation fuel market, due to increase in investments for the growth of commercial aircrafts. China dominates the Asia-Pacific Sustainable aviation fuel market. The demand in this region is projected to be driven by increase in demand for sustainable aviation fuel by airlines.
The country section of the report also provides individual market impacting factors and changes in market regulation that impact the current and future trends of the market. Data points like down-stream and upstream value chain analysis, technical trends and porter's five forces analysis, case studies are some of the pointers used to forecast the market scenario for individual countries. Also, the presence and availability of global brands and their challenges faced due to large or scarce competition from local and domestic brands, impact of domestic tariffs and trade routes are considered while providing forecast analysis of the country data.
Competitive Landscape and Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Share Analysis
The sustainable aviation fuel market competitive landscape provides details by competitor. Details included are company overview, company financials, revenue generated, market potential, investment in research and development, new market initiatives, global presence, production sites and facilities, production capacities, company strengths and weaknesses, product launch, product width and breadth, application dominance. The above data points provided are only related to the companies' focus related to sustainable aviation fuel market.
Some of the major players operating in the sustainable aviation fuel market are Neste, Gevo, VELOCYS,Fulcrum BioEnergy, SkyNRG, Prometheus Fuels, World Energy, Avfuel Corporation, LanzaTech, Preem AB, Eni , Sasol Ltd, BP p.l.c., Cepsa, Honeywell International Inc, Chevron Corporation, TotalEnergies, Exxon Mobil Corporation, Johnson Matthey, VIRENT, INC., HyPoint Inc., ZeroAvia, Inc. among others.
Research Methodology: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market
Data collection and base year analysis is done using data collection modules with large sample sizes. The stage includes the obtainment of market information or related data through various sources and strategies. It includes examining and planning all the data acquired from the past advance. It likewise envelops the examination of information inconsistencies seen across different information sources. The market data is analysed and estimated using market statistical and coherent models. Also market share analysis and key trend analysis are the major success factors in the market report. To know more, please request an analyst call or drop down your inquiry.
The key research methodology used by DBMR research team is data triangulation which involves data mining, analysis of the impact of data variables on the market, and primary (industry expert) validation. Apart from this, data models include Vendor Positioning Grid, Market Time Line Analysis, Market Overview and Guide, Company Positioning Grid, Patent Analysis, Pricing Analysis, Company Market Share Analysis, Standards of Measurement, Global versus Regional and Vendor Share Analysis. To know more about the research methodology, drop in an inquiry to speak to our industry experts.
Customization Available: Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market
Data Bridge Market Research is a leader in advanced formative research. We take pride in servicing our existing and new customers with data and analysis that match and suits their goal. The report can be customized to include price trend analysis of target brands understanding the market for additional countries (ask for the list of countries), clinical trial results data, literature review, refurbished market and product base analysis. Market analysis of target competitors can be analysed from technology-based analysis to market portfolio strategies. We can add as many competitors that you require data about in the format and data style you are looking for. Our team of analysts can also provide you data in crude raw excel files pivot tables (Factbook) or can assist you in creating presentations from the data sets available in the report.